Vysarn Investment thesis

Vysarn Ltd $VYS.AX – An opportunity under the Australian water

Date: 27th Aug 2023 

Capital Structure

1Common SharesA$ 77MM
2Preferred Shares0
3Net DebtA$ 1.6MM

 

Main Shareholders

Peter Hutchinson (Chairman)     14.93%. 

Garrison Holdings 4.29%

James Clement (CEO) 3.84%

Earning Metrics

(€ MM)

2020

2021

2022

2023

Revenue

11.91

25.82

46.30

55.50

Adj EBITDA

-1.17

5.00

9.07

11.60

EPS (cents)

1.78

0.1

0.73

0.95

 

Stock Information

395.29MMnº shares
251k3mth avg vol
1.06Beta
A$ 0.071-0.215  52 Week Range

Vysarn Share price $VYS.AX

Vysarn Investment Thesis in a nutshell

Vysarn is a vertically integrated company with 4 business divisions providing water services in Western Australia. With a market capitalization of AUD $79M, this micro-cap is trading around 2024’s (fiscal year ends on 30th June) 4.5x EV/EBITDA and less than 7x NPBT. Vysarn is experiencing high growth and entering more profitable and less capital-intensive segments. The Chairman of the company already led a company that multiplied the value of their share X37 in five years. Vysarn´s management is highly experienced in the sector and in M&A.

Core business (hydro dewatering) revenues are backed by multi-year contracts with tier-one iron ore producers. This segment is expected to contribute around 14-16M EBITDA per year.

Since the start of the operations in September 2019, they had a clear route of integrating the business vertically, acquiring compatible businesses with their core division. The diversification into more capital-light segments is starting to translate into higher valuation multiples.

After an H1 negatively affected by rig maintenance, on Friday 25th August they just reported the FY2023 results which were proof of the level of revenues and baseline earnings the company can achieve.

Possible catalysts for the share price:

  • Higher percentage of revenue by capital-light divisions.
  • Inorganic opportunities (CEO interview)
  • Dividend in the fiscal year 2024.
  • Increasing interest in water as a resource

Vysarn History

Peter Hutchinson (current Chairman) bought MHM Metals, an ASX unlisted company, and renamed it as Vysarn in late 2017.

In April 2019 they agreed to buy drilling assets to Ausdrill for $16 million. In September, they relisted Vysarn on the ASX. With this funding ($7M from relisting + $8.8M from debt), Pentium Hydro, one of the subsidiaries of Vysarn, acquired the pre-agreed 10 drilling rigs plus some ancillary equipment (casing rotators, air compressors, rig carriers, etc.). The fair value of these assets was seven million higher than the purchase price.

A few weeks after the relisting, they signed the first contract to provide drilling services. Since then, they have moved from short-term contracts to longer-term ones with tier-one clients. Driven by strong demand, they bought other two drilling rigs. During these years they have accomplished almost full utilization rate during these years.

In November 2021, they completed the acquisition of Yield Test Pumping (Pentium Test Pumping) at less than 4 times EV/EBITDA, starting the company’s vertical integration. Before the acquisition, Yield had already signed a two-year contract with Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) to provide test pumping services.

Only three months later, in February 2022, Vysarn launched their consulting division (Pentium Water) organically. And in the summer of 2022, they acquired ProEng for $2.6 million (3x EV/EBT) entering the Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) segment.

The latest movement by the company was to establish a 50/50 Joint Venture to enter the fluid containment solutions with Concept (a leader in this business in Eastern Australia).

Vysarn Business Model

Vysarn aims to build a vertically integrated company providing services around the water spectrum. The company is moving from being a hydro driller to being a water specialist. They identify the following water services for the resources sector:

Vysarn Ltd business model

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